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Answered

Covid Risk score ranking error

bcfaris 3 weeks ago in Website (larimer.org) updated by Gregg Turnbull 2 weeks ago 2

The ranking risk score of Covid cases is shown as medium.  All of the metrics this is based on are at the 0 level or at the most low risk.  How can the overall risk show as medium with this data?

Answer

Answer
Answered

Hello Team, 

Sorry for the delay in responding to both you bcfaris and Ken. 

Our current base risk for COVID (before any indicators meet their threshold is 40% - which translates to low - med.

Here is our some of the factors that go into the baseline:
There is COVID in the community - new cases and patients 
we neighbor hot spots where case count and hospitalizations are on the rise
hospitals / icus are over 50%
and finally our hospital partners provided guidance on setting the base risk at low/med - agreed on 40 % as long as the above is true

When we first build the dashboard we had it set to 0 but that would have led some to believe their was a zero risk.


As for capacity, we currently measure the total capacity of the hospital system (total beds) as the ability to respond to Covid. Even if beds are filled for other reasons it still impacts the systems ability to admit Covid patients. We are also counting beds in the hospitals/ICUs in our system: MCR, PVH, UCHealth Total, McKee, Banner FC


Thank you both for your questions and insights. Please send us a note on an other questions and I will do my best to get answers.

Cheers,

Gregg

//Larimer County Web Services

This page has additional problems -- as of 7/1/2020, it shows just 7 COVID patients in hospital, but hospital and ICU utilization of 61%.  Are we to believe that there are only 11 or 12 hospital rooms available for COVID patients in Larimer county?

Answer
Answered

Hello Team, 

Sorry for the delay in responding to both you bcfaris and Ken. 

Our current base risk for COVID (before any indicators meet their threshold is 40% - which translates to low - med.

Here is our some of the factors that go into the baseline:
There is COVID in the community - new cases and patients 
we neighbor hot spots where case count and hospitalizations are on the rise
hospitals / icus are over 50%
and finally our hospital partners provided guidance on setting the base risk at low/med - agreed on 40 % as long as the above is true

When we first build the dashboard we had it set to 0 but that would have led some to believe their was a zero risk.


As for capacity, we currently measure the total capacity of the hospital system (total beds) as the ability to respond to Covid. Even if beds are filled for other reasons it still impacts the systems ability to admit Covid patients. We are also counting beds in the hospitals/ICUs in our system: MCR, PVH, UCHealth Total, McKee, Banner FC


Thank you both for your questions and insights. Please send us a note on an other questions and I will do my best to get answers.

Cheers,

Gregg

//Larimer County Web Services