0
Not a bug

incorrect math

carrie hayden 3 weeks ago in COVID-19 Dashboard updated by Gregg Turnbull 3 weeks ago 3

Age 70+ residents vaccinated is 1.34%, not 13.4%

Answer

Answer

I can understand the confusion and will check in with the health department who guides the metrics we provide.

It appears the 5351 first dose count(now 6128) is being compared to the total of doses provided in the county, so of the 52,422 doses provided, 6,128 (15.4%) have been given to 70+ residents.

That is not 15.4% of all residents, or even 15.4% of the 70+ demographic. 


Going of July 2019 census estimates, our population is at 356,899, and 16.2 % of our population is in the 65+ age group ~ roughly 57,817.  If we truly wanted to get a rough estimate of % of the +65 / +70 who have received the first dose and fully vaccinated, we would use the our vaccination metrics and compare it to that population counts for that group.

So 6,128 first doses /  57,817 estimate -> 10.6 % of that population (65+ / 70+) ~ There are likely better sources of 70+ population, as census shares 65+ and is nearly 2 years old. But you get the just.


I will share the notes with the Health team and we will likely provide some clarifications / better descriptions on the data.


Cheers,

Gregg

Not a bug

No, it's 5351 out of 39900 = 0.1341102756892231

The population of Larimer County is 399,000. So the percentage of vaccinated residents over 70 is 1.341etc. Is that what you are saying? 

Answer

I can understand the confusion and will check in with the health department who guides the metrics we provide.

It appears the 5351 first dose count(now 6128) is being compared to the total of doses provided in the county, so of the 52,422 doses provided, 6,128 (15.4%) have been given to 70+ residents.

That is not 15.4% of all residents, or even 15.4% of the 70+ demographic. 


Going of July 2019 census estimates, our population is at 356,899, and 16.2 % of our population is in the 65+ age group ~ roughly 57,817.  If we truly wanted to get a rough estimate of % of the +65 / +70 who have received the first dose and fully vaccinated, we would use the our vaccination metrics and compare it to that population counts for that group.

So 6,128 first doses /  57,817 estimate -> 10.6 % of that population (65+ / 70+) ~ There are likely better sources of 70+ population, as census shares 65+ and is nearly 2 years old. But you get the just.


I will share the notes with the Health team and we will likely provide some clarifications / better descriptions on the data.


Cheers,

Gregg